digital currency comparison, Overview

Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.Good morning, old irons, I am your red fire! Investment has logic, trading has methods, here is the logic and actual combat you want most!If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.

After-hours, personal pension will be expanded to broad-based index products, which is the China version of 401k! At present, there are about 65 million people opening personal pension accounts in China. If the average person pays 6,000 yuan a year, the annual deposit scale is about 150 billion yuan, which is a great incremental fund. If people can make money steadily for a long time, more people will buy personal pensions (tax deductible), thus promoting the slow growth of the stock market.In the past two months, domestic capital has flowed out by more than 1.5 trillion yuan. There are mainly three types of funds flowing out. First, some new investors who came in in October stopped playing. The second is that institutional funds run away, and the third is the reduction of industrial capital+size. In a word, institutions must be one of the forces of market smashing. This round of market is not that institutions don't believe in bull market, but that people don't believe in institutions. If they can't get money, they naturally have no market pricing power.Therefore, in the near future, everyone should continue to avoid the big ticket of institutional+foreign heavy positions and let them play by themselves. Let's make a small U-turn. Now there are enough market themes. Just focus on one or two core optimistic directions (technology and consumption), and don't switch frequently. Grasp the rhythm and the probability of making money is still very high.

Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:Now the national policy is obvious, that is, to build a financial power and do a good job in the stock market. This is the general trend. If you deny this, then don't speculate. Technical analysis is icing on the cake, and it won't be a gift in the snow. Therefore, it is reasonable to say that the role of technical analysis is only 20% whether stock trading makes money.3. From September to December, MACD crosses the 0 axis from underwater, which is a signal that the trend turns from weak to strong;